Garaadka Macmalka ah (AI) ayaa wax ka beddelaya suuqa shaqada: Waa kuwee shaqooyinka khatarta ku jira?
Shirkadaha ugu waaweyn adduunka ayaa balaayiin doollar ku maalgelinaya garaadka macmalka ah (AI), iyagoo sheegaya inay u isticmaalaan inay yareeyaan kharashaadka shaqaalaha. Madaxda shirkadaha waxaa loo sheegayaa in 'in la ilaaliyo tirada shaqaalaha oo isku mid ah ay tahay calaamad muujinaysa guul iyo wax-soo-saar,' halka maalgashadayaashu ay isweydiinayaan inay shaqooyinka u dhiibtaan 'wakiillo garaadka macmalka' — shaqaale dijitaal ah oo loo kireysto inay qabtaan hawlo gaar ah, kuwaas oo qaarkood xitaa awood u leh inay qabtaan shaqooyin u baahan khibrad gaar ah.
Isbeddelka awoodda AI iyo xirfadaha khatarta ku jira
Shabakadaha garaadka macmalka ee kala duwan waxay hadda u qaban karaan hawlo ay horey u qaban jireen aadanuhu. Saddex sano ka hor, nidaamyada waaweyn ee luuqadda (LLMs) waxay si hufan u qaban karaan oo keliya hawlo uu qofku ku dhammayn karo dhowr ilbiriqsi ama daqiiqado. Hadda, nidaamyadani waxay sii kordhinayaan awoodda ay u leeyihiin inay qabtaan hawlo ka adag, kuwaas oo qofka ku qaadan lahaa ku dhowaad hal saac.
Qaar ka mid ah nidaamyada waaweyn ee luuqadda ayaa hadda xitaa awood u leh inay aqoonsadaan dhibaatooyinka ku jira qandaraasyada lacagaha dijitaalka ah, isla markaana ay abuuraan ama horumariyaan nidaamka laftiisa — hawlo qofka ku qaadan lahaa dhowr saacadood inuu dhammaystiro. Jiilka cusub ee nidaamyadan ayaa la filayaa inuu awood u yeesho inuu inta badan shaqadiisa naqshadaynta iyo horumarinta iskiis u qabto, isaga oo aan ku tiirsanaan taageero adanaha ka timaadda, muddo ku dhow sannadka soo socda.
Xogta Stanford iyo saameynta suuqa shaqada
Daraasadda ugu dhammaystiran ee ilaa hadda la sameeyay waxay ka timid Maraykanka, iyadoo la adeegsanayo xog afar sano ah oo ku saabsan xaaladda shaqo ee kooxo da' oo kala duwan, kuwaas oo ka shaqeeya xirfado heerar kala duwan ugu nugul garaadka macmalka ah (AI). Shaqooyinkaas waxaa ka mid ah horumarinta barnaamijyada kombiyuutarrada, shaqaalaha xarumaha adeegga macaamiisha, shaqaalaha daryeelka caafimaadka, xannaaneeyayaasha carruurta iyo timo-jareyaasha.
Falanqayn ay samaysay Jaamacadda Stanford oo ku saabsan xogta mushaharka iyo shaqaalaynta ayaa muujinaysa in tan iyo markii ay soo baxeen chatbots, shaqaalaynta dadka da'doodu u dhaxayso 22 ilaa 25 sano ay hoos u dhacday 2.7 boqolkiiba. Hoos-u-dhacu wuxuu gaarayaa 12.8 boqolkiiba qaybaha sida weyn ay u saameeyeen AI, oo ay ka mid yihiin maaliyadda, horumarinta barnaamijyada iyo ganacsiyada hal-abuurka ku yimid.
Farqiga u dhexeeya qaybaha shaqada iyo caqabadaha
Mid ka mid ah natiijooyinka ugu yaabka badan ee ka soo baxay falanqayn dhowaan ay samaysay Ururka Iskaashiga Dhaqaalaha iyo Horumarinta (OECD) ayaa ah farqiga u dhexeeya tirada xayeysiisyada shaqooyinka ee qaybaha sida weyn u saameeyay AI iyo kuwa aan sida weyn u saameyn. Daraasadda ayaa muujisay in shaqooyinka ay ka mid yihiin suuq-geynta telefoonka iyo adeegyada sharciga ay ka mid yihiin qaybaha sida weyn u saameeyay AI, halka meelaha sida dhismaha, adeegyada nadaafadda iyo diyaarinta cuntada ay ka mid yihiin kuwa ugu yar ee uu saameeyay.
Kharashka isticmaalka teknoolojiyaddan ayaa si weyn u kordhay, ilaa heer ay shirkado badan hadda qasab ku noqotay inay xakameeyaan oo yareeyaan isticmaalka nidaamyadan. Shirkado badan, oo ay ku jiraan kuwa ku yaalla dalalka reer Galbeedka, ayaa bilaabay inay isticmaalaan nidaamyada AI ee kharashka ugu yar, kuwaas oo lagu dhisay teknoolojiyad laga sameeyay Shiinaha, laguna soo bandhigay suuqa lacag la'aan ama qiimo aad u hooseeya. Sidaas darteed, weli waxaa jira hubanti la'aan badan oo ku saabsan saameynta AI ku yeelan doonto suuqa shaqada, balse isbeddello muuqda ayaa durba soo baxaya.
Major tech firms are making bold claims about artificial intelligence's ability to replace human workers, while Nobel laureate economists warn the world must act fast to ensure prosperity rather than mass unemployment.
The Scale of AI's Growing Power
Leading AI companies are investing billions of dollars in technology that can reduce labor costs, with executives telling staff that maintaining headcount is a sign of failure. Meanwhile, investors are asking whether jobs should be filled by new hires or by AI agents capable of handling complex tasks that once required specialized experience.
Just three years ago, large language models could only complete tasks a human could finish in seconds or minutes. Today, those systems are expanding their capabilities to handle work that takes nearly an hour, and some can now identify issues in digital contracts and build their own systems in hours.
Which Jobs Are Most Vulnerable?
A comprehensive study from the United States analyzed four years of employment data across age groups and skill levels, finding that software development, customer service, healthcare, childcare, and hairdressing are among the roles most exposed to AI disruption. A Stanford University analysis of wage and hiring data shows that employment for workers aged 22 to 25 has dropped 2.7 percent since chatbots emerged, with the decline reaching 12.8 percent in finance, software, and creative industries.
An OECD study revealed a sharp gap in job postings between sectors heavily impacted by AI and those less affected. Roles in mobile marketing and legal services are seeing significant disruption, while construction, cleaning, and food preparation remain relatively untouched. The United Kingdom has recorded a notable decline in these indicators, with interest rates stable or falling and the shift beginning before spending rose last year.
Costs Rise as AI Adoption Accelerates
AI usage is measured in tokens, small text units that roughly equal three to four English words. Major AI companies have created token usage leaderboards to push employees toward higher productivity, and recent months have seen token consumption reach trillions, sometimes tens of trillions or even quadrillions, largely driven by AI agents operating without human intervention.
However, the cost of running this technology has surged dramatically, forcing many companies to cut back usage. Some Western firms are now turning to cheaper AI models built on Chinese technology and offered at low or zero cost. Despite these challenges, visible changes in the job market are already underway, even as experts acknowledge significant uncertainty remains about AI's full impact.
