Mozambique: Caqabado Bini'aadantinimo oo Is-dulsaaran Oo Socda Bishii Luulyo 2026

Barnaamijyada gargaarka iyo saadaasha abaarta El Niño ay keeni karto

Mozambique waxay sii wadday la kulanka caqabado bini'aadantinimo oo is-dulsaaran bishii Luulyo 2026, taasoo ay kaxeynayeen barakicinta khilaafaadka, baahiyaha ka dib daadad, iyo khatarta abaarta El Niño. Tani waxay muujinaysaa xaalad nugul.

Barakicinta iyo Jawaabta Bini'aadantinimada

Qiyaastii 1,979 qof ayaa barakacay bishii Luulyo 2026, taasoo wadarta dadka laga barakaciyay khilaafaadka ilaa bilowga sanadka gaarsiisay 28,163. Haweenka iyo carruurta ayaa ah 65 boqolkiiba kuwa barakacay.

Jawaabta bini'aadantinimada waxay gaadhsiisay 580,000 qof marka la beegsanayay 1.1 milyan. Waxaa la ururiyay in ka badan US$117 milyan marka loo baahday US$348 milyan ee HNRP 2026.

Daadadkii iyo Caafimaadka Dadweynaha

Qorshaha Kordhinta Jawaabta Daadada ee lix bilood ah wuxuu ku dhammaaday bishii Luulyo. Waxaa la gaadhsiisay in ka badan 516,000 qof ee laga beegsaday 600,000 ka dib daadad ay saameeyeen 724,000.

Gargaarka waxaa laga bixiyay 6 gobol iyo 38 degmo, iyadoo 55 hay'adood ay ka qayb qaateen. Gobolka Gaza, kiisaska duumada waa 176 boqolkiiba ka badan marka loo eego 2025.

Saadaasha El Niño iyo Maalgelinta

El Niño ayaa la filayaa inay xumeynayso ammaanka cunnada xilliga roobka 2026/27. INAM waxay aqoonsatay 12 degmo oo khatar abaar ah, iyadoo 16 degmo kale la calaamadiyay.

Bishii Luulyo, HNRP 2026 waxay ahayd 30 boqolkiiba la maalgeliyay marka loo eego baahida US$534 milyan. Khatarta abaarta ayaa koraya, iyadoo baahida agabyada gargaarka ay sii kordhayso.

Mozambique grappled with compounding humanitarian emergencies in July 2026, as conflict-driven displacement in the north, flood recovery efforts, and El Niño-linked drought risks converged to strain an already fragile response system.

Conflict Displacement and Funding Gaps

Approximately 1,979 people were displaced in July 2026, pushing the year-to-date conflict-related displacement total to 28,163, with women and children representing 65 per cent of those affected. Movements remained largely localized, occurring within or between neighboring districts, while protection partners reported family separation, gender-based violence, and high psychosocial distress among affected populations.

The humanitarian response reached 580,000 people against a target of 1.1 million, while more than US$117 million was mobilized against the US$348 million required under the 2026 Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan (HNRP). With needs rising and living conditions deteriorating, urgent additional resources are needed to sustain the response and enable timely anticipatory action.

Flood Recovery and Public Health Concerns

The six-month Floods Humanitarian Response Plan Addendum concluded in July, with partners reaching more than 516,000 people against a target of approximately 600,000, following floods that affected more than 724,000 individuals across 6 provinces and 38 districts involving 55 implementing organizations. While many flood-affected households have returned to their communities, some families remain displaced or continue to rely on host communities.

Public health concerns persist in Gaza Province, where malaria cases were 176 per cent higher than during the same period in 2025, while several flood-affected districts continue to report elevated levels of diarrheal diseases. Assistance was delivered across 6 provinces and 38 districts, with 55 implementing organizations involved.

Drought Risks and El Niño Outlook

El Niño is expected to worsen food security during the 2026/27 rainy season, with forecasts pointing to below-average rainfall and increased drought risk, particularly in southern and central Mozambique while northern areas may experience near- to above-average rainfall, with localized flood risks. The National Institute of Meteorology (INAM) identified 12 districts in southern and central Mozambique at high risk of severe drought requiring preparedness and early action.

A further 16 districts across Cabo Delgado, Gaza, Inhambane, Sofala, Tete, Manica, and Maputo Province were flagged for possible drought risk and are being monitored pending further analysis in August. As of July, the 2026 Humanitarian Needs and Response Plan (HNRP) was 30 per cent funded against total requirements of US$534 million for the conflict and flood responses.