Cunto-yarida oo halis ah ku dhufatay in ka badan 234,000 oo qof oo reer miyi ah ee Lesotho

Falanqaynta IPC waxay muujinaysaa in cunto-yarida daran ay sii xumaanayso inta u dhaxaysa May 2026 iyo March 2027

In ka badan 234,000 oo qof oo ku nool miimiyada Lesotho (15 boqolkiiba dadka la falanqeeyay) ayaa la kulma heerar sare oo cunto-yarida degdegga ah (IPC Marxaladda 3 ama ka sareysa, Crisis ama ka sii darran) inta u dhaxaysa May iyo September 2026. Xaaladdani waxay u badan tahay shoogga cimilada, qiimaha cuntada oo sarreeya, iyo cudurrada xoolaha.

Xaaladda Hadda ee Cunto-yarida

"In ka badan 234,000 oo qof oo ku nool miimiyada Lesotho (15 boqolkiiba dadka la falanqeeyay) ayaa la kulma heerar sare oo cunto-yarida degdegga ah (IPC Marxaladda 3 ama ka sareysa, Crisis ama ka sii darran) inta u dhaxaysa May iyo September 2026." Tani waa tirakoobka rasmiga ah ee xilligan.

Xaaladda cunto-yarida degdegga ah waxaa ugu horrayn kaxeeya shoogga cimilada, qiimaha cuntada oo sarreeya, iyo cudurrada xoolaha. Sababahani waxay si toos ah u saameeyaan awoodda qoysaska reer miyiga ah ee Lesotho ee helitaanka cunto ku filan.

Saadaasha Oktoobar 2026 ilaa March 2027

Inta lagu jiro xilliga la saadaaliyay (Oktoobar 2026 ilaa March 2027), qiyaastii 311,000 oo qof oo reer miyi ah Lesotho (20 boqolkiiba dadka la falanqeeyay) ayaa la saadaaliyay inay wajihi doonaan Marxaladda 3 ama ka sareysa. Tani waxay muujinaysaa korodhka tirada dadka halista ku jirta.

Shan degmo—Quthing, Mafeteng, Berea, Butha-Buthe, iyo Mokhotlong—ayaa la saadaaliyay inay u degi doonaan Marxaladda 3. Saddexda degmo ee hadhay (Leribe, Thaba-Tseka, iyo Qacha's Nek) ayaa lagu saadaaliyay inay ku sii jiri doonaan Marxaladda 2.

Saamaynta El Niño iyo Cimilada

U gudubka la filayo ee xaaladaha El Niño waxay u badan tahay inay keeni doonto bilow da' ah oo roobka iyo heerkul kordhay. Tani waxay horseedi doontaa wax-soo-saarka dalagga oo yaraada iyo cudurro badan oo faafaya.

Natiijo ahaan, shoogga cimilada iyo cudurrada ayaa sii xoojin doona cunto-yarida degdegga ah ee Lesotho. Qorshaynta gargaarka ayaa lagama maarmaan u ah yaraynta saameynta xilliga la saadaaliyay.

More than 234,000 people in rural Lesotho are currently enduring high levels of acute food insecurity, with projections showing a further deterioration affecting over 311,000 individuals by the end of 2026.

Current Crisis Deepens Across Rural Communities

Over 234,000 people living in rural areas of Lesotho, representing 15 percent of the analysed population, are experiencing high levels of acute food insecurity between May and September 2026. This crisis is classified as IPC Phase 3 or above, indicating conditions of Crisis or worse.

The situation is driven primarily by climatic shocks, high food prices, and livestock disease, which have collectively undermined the resilience of vulnerable households across the country.

Projected Deterioration in Key Districts

During the projected period from October 2026 to March 2027, approximately 311,000 people in rural Lesotho, or 20 percent of the analysed population, are expected to face Phase 3 or above. Five districts—Quthing, Mafeteng, Berea, Butha-Buthe, and Mokhotlong—are projected to deteriorate into Phase 3.

The remaining three districts—Leribe, Thaba-Tseka, and Qacha's Nek—are projected to remain in Phase 2, though the overall trend points to a worsening acute food insecurity situation during the projection period.

El Niño Threatens Agricultural Outlook

The anticipated transition to El Niño conditions is likely to result in a late onset of rains and elevated temperatures, leading to reduced crop production and increased disease outbreaks.

These climatic shifts pose significant risks to food security, potentially exacerbating the already critical situation faced by hundreds of thousands of Lesotho's rural population.