Bangiga Horumarinta Afrika oo ka digaya khasaare dhaqaale oo gaaraya $10–20 bilyan sababo la xiriira El Niño
Bangiga Horumarinta Afrika (AfDB) ayaa ka digay in ifafaalaha cimilada ee loo yaqaan 'Super El Niño' uu keeni karo khasaare dhaqaale oo u dhexeeya $10 bilyan iyo $20 bilyan dalalka Afrika ee saameyn ku yeelan doona.
Dhibaatada dhaqaale ee la filayo
Agaasimaha Isbeddelka Cimilada iyo Kobaca Cagaaran ee AfDB, Anthony Nyong, ayaa sheegay in dalalka ugu daran ee saameyn ku yeelan doona ay celcelis ahaan lumin karaan 1% ilaa 2% wax-soo-saarkooda guud (GDP).
Dadka iyo dhaqaalaha ayaa si weyn u saameyn doona, iyadoo abaarta, fatahaadaha iyo duufaannada la xiriira El Niño ay sii wiiqi doonaan sugnaanta cuntada iyo biyaha, isla markaana dhaawici doonaan kaabeyaasha dhaqaalaha.
Dalalka ugu daran ee saameyn ku yeelan doona
Dalal ay ka mid yihiin Soomaaliya, Suudaan, Koonfurta Suudaan, Jamhuuriyadda Dimuqraadiga ah ee Congo, Mali, Burundi iyo Nigeria ayaa wajihi kara saameyn aad u daran, taasoo keeni karta barakac ballaaran iyo tartan ku saabsan biyaha iyo dhulka daaqsinka.
Beeraleyda Afrika ayaa sanadkan hore u wajahaya khasaare lagu qiyaasay $330 milyan, halka waaxda kalluumeysigana ay saameyn ku yeelan doonaan kuleylka badda iyo duufaannada.
Baahida maalgelinta la-qabsiga
Bangiga Horumarinta Afrika waxay sheegtay in baahida maalgelinta la-qabsiga isbeddelka cimilada ee Afrika ay hadda gaari karto $100 bilyan sanadkan, si loo yareeyo saameynta El Niño ee la filayo.
Maalgelintaas oo aad u weyn ayaa muujinaysa in dalalka Afrika ay u baahan yihiin taageero caalami ah oo ballaaran si ay uga hortagaan dhibaatada cimilada ee soo kordhay.
The African Development Bank has issued a stark warning that the intensifying 'Super El Niño' weather phenomenon could inflict economic losses between $10 billion and $20 billion across the continent, with the most vulnerable nations facing a 1% to 2% decline in their gross domestic product.
Widespread Economic and Humanitarian Threats
Anthony Nyong, Director of Climate Change and Green Growth at the AfDB, stated that droughts, floods, and storms linked to El Niño will continue to undermine food and water security and damage economic pillars across the continent.
The bank further warned that the financing need for climate change adaptation in Africa could reach $100 billion this year to reduce the impact of the expected El Niño, underscoring the scale of the challenge ahead.
Countries at Highest Risk of Displacement and Conflict
Nyong identified Somalia, Sudan, South Sudan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, Mali, Burundi, and Nigeria as nations that may face severe impacts, potentially causing mass displacement and competition over water and arable land.
These countries are already grappling with fragile governance and limited resources, meaning the compounding effects of extreme weather could exacerbate existing tensions and humanitarian crises.
Agriculture and Fisheries Under Severe Pressure
African farmers are facing an estimated $330 million loss this year, while the fishing sector will be affected by ocean warming and storms, threatening livelihoods and food supply chains across the continent.
The combined blow to agriculture and fisheries highlights the urgent need for resilient infrastructure and international support to safeguard the continent's most vulnerable populations.
