Xaaladda Canshuurta ee Afrika: 8 Milyan Caruur ah oo ku jira Canshuurta adag ayaa ku soo fool leh ilaa bishii March 2027
Warbixin cusub oo ka soo baxday hay'adda Save the Children ayaa sheegaysa in 8 milyan oo caruur ah oo ku dhaqan qaybaha waqooyiga iyo koonfurta Afrika ay ku soo fool leeyihiin canshuurta adag ilaa bishii March 2027, iyadoo xaaladdu ay ka sii xumaan doonto 30%.
Xaaladda guud ee Afrika
Warbixinta Save the Children ayaa sheegaysa in tirada dadka ku jira heerarka canshuurta adag ama ka sarreeya (IPC Phase 3+) ay ka badan doonto 12.6 milyan oo qof ilaa 16.4 milyan qof bishii March 2027. Tani waxay ku soo kordhayaa sababo la xiriira xaaladda El Niño ee adag ee sanadkan ka jira.
Tani waxay ka dhigan tahay in 6 milyan oo caruur ah oo hadda ku jira canshuurta adag ay ka kordhi doonaan 8 milyan oo caruur ah, iyadoo xaaladdu ay sii xumaan doonto haddii tallaabooyin degdeg ah la qaadan waayo. Xaaladdu waxay ku soo kordhayaa xilligii El Niño uu ugu badan yahay.
Dalalka ugu saameysan
Uganda waxaa lagu wadaa inay noqoto dalka ugu badan ee dadka ku jira canshuurta adag, iyadoo 4.4 milyan oo qof oo ku jira canshuurta adag la filayo inay ka kordhaan 22% ilaa bishii March 2027. Koonfurta Uganda, gaar ahaan Karamoja, waxaa laga dareemayaa kordhin ka badan 40%.
Zambia waxaa lagu wadaa inay noqoto dalka ugu xumaanaya, iyadoo dadka ku jira canshuurta adag ay ka kordhi doonaan 80% ilaa 1.2 milyan qof. Madagascar, Mozambique iyo Malawi waxayna ku kordhi doonaan 75%, 55% iyo 35% labadii sano ee soo socda.
Tallaabooyinka Save the Children
Save the Children waxay sheegtay in El Niño uu ku soo kordhayo xaaladaha dagaalka, canshuurta, iyo xadgudubyada. Hay'addu waxay diiradda saartay howlaha diyaar garowga, sida warbixinnada horumarka, diyaar garowga bulshada, iyo macaashka horumarka.
Yvonne Arunga, hoggaamiyaha Save the Children ee Afrika, waxay sheegtay: 'Waxaan ognahay in El Niño uu imaanayo. Waxaan ognahay caruurta ugu badan ee khatar ku jirta. Waxaan ognahay in tallaabooyinka horumarka ay shaqeeyaan. Dowladaha waa inay beddelaan warbixinnada horumarka oo ay noqdaan tallaabooyin degdeg ah.' Tani waxay muujinaysaa in tallaabooyinka horumarka ay muhiim u yihiin.
Save the Children warns that one of the strongest El Niño events in recent years is set to drive a 30% surge in child hunger across East and Southern Africa, with 8 million children facing acute food insecurity by early 2027.
A Surge in Crisis-Level Hunger Across Six Nations
New analysis from Save the Children, published on 22 September 2026, projects that the number of people facing crisis-level hunger or worse (IPC Phase 3+) in six East and Southern African countries will rise from 12.6 million to 16.4 million by March 2027. Currently, six million children in those same countries are already experiencing severe food shortages, a figure expected to climb to eight million within months unless urgent action is taken.
The agency compared the most recent Acute Food Insecurity analyses from Madagascar, Malawi, Mozambique, Zambia, Uganda and Kenya, selecting them because their IPC reports cover the period when El Niño effects are expected to peak. The analysis draws on data from the Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC) and applies national child population shares from the UN's World Population Prospects 2024 revision.
Uganda, Zambia and Madagascar Hit Hardest
Uganda is projected to have the highest absolute number of people in crisis or worse levels of hunger, with 4.4 million expected by early 2027 — a 22% increase. The Karamoja region in northeastern Uganda has seen a rise of more than 40% in crisis or emergency food insecurity. Zambia is forecast to experience the sharpest deterioration, with crisis-level hunger rising by 80% to over 1.2 million people.
Madagascar, Mozambique and Malawi are also expected to see significant increases of 75%, 55% and 35% respectively. In Mozambique, communities in central provinces are still recovering from severe flooding earlier this year, while conflict-driven displacement in Cabo Delgado continues to strain food, water and health services. In Madagascar, about 502,000 children under five — one in 10 — are expected to suffer from acute malnutrition between May 2026 and April 2027, including 78,000 with severe acute malnutrition.
Call for Anticipatory Action and International Investment
Save the Children said El Niño is unfolding against a backdrop of conflict, hunger, displacement, economic instability and humanitarian funding cuts. The agency is helping families prepare for floods, storms and droughts through early warning information, evacuation planning, community preparedness and anticipatory cash assistance. It is also reinforcing health facilities, schools and water systems to better withstand climate-related shocks.
Yvonne Arunga, Regional Director for Save the Children in East and Southern Africa, said: 'We know El Niño is coming. We know which children are most at risk. And we know that anticipatory action works. Governments must turn early warnings into early action to protect essential services like schools, hospitals, water and social protection systems, before the crisis hits.' She added that every dollar spent helping communities prepare and act early can save lives and reduce the need for much larger humanitarian responses later.
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